FIFA World Cup 2026 · Status

Status and freshness

Current forecast build, model release, data freshness, and degraded-state guardrails for the static forecast artifacts served by TrophyCast.

Last published Fri, 03 Jul 2026 05:19:26 UTC 12 min ago

Forecast mode full 100,000 simulations

Model trophycast-0.1.0 cef90ee8

Source snapshot 15ae1b7f input hash for JSON and simulation binary

Results feed snapshot_ok 0 live · 0 overdue

Result freshness current no overdue pending results

Group matches played 72 / 72 Group stage source snapshot

Knockout matches played 13 / 32 Bracket result coverage

Release id 20260703T051926Z-a6aca52b JSON and simulation binary snapshot

Degraded reasons none all guards nominal

Model config goal spread 0.75 base goals 1.32 · shootout tilt 0.2

Refresh workflow

Run bun run check:freshness before publishing. Use bun run record:result for any completed knockout result missing upstream; it records the result, rebuilds forecast JSON and bracket_sims.bin, and runs data validation. Use bun run sync:flags when team ids change.

Verification

The expected local gates are bun run check, bun run lint, bun run test, bun run check:freshness, bun run validate:data, and bun run build.