World Cup 2026 Forecast Odds

Title odds & round-by-round probabilities

Title odds and round-by-round reach probabilities for all 48 teams. Activate a row to trace that team through the bracket.

Swipe sideways to see all rounds ->

#	Team	Grp	Elo	Group finish			Reaches
#	Team	Grp	Elo	1st	2nd	3rd	R32	R16	QF	SF	Final	Win
1	France	I	2189	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	89%	68%	44%	28.3%
2	Argentina	J	2143	100%	0%	0%	100%	92%	78%	56%	34%	17.6%
3	Spain	H	2153	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	59%	43%	23%	13.8%
4	England	L	2115	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	68%	40%	23%	10.9%
5	Brazil	C	2085	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	68%	35%	19%	8.2%
6	Portugal	K	2091	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	41%	27%	12%	6.2%
7	Morocco	C	2019	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	71%	23%	9.4%	3.9%
8	Colombia	K	2000	100%	0%	0%	100%	79%	43%	17%	6.8%	2.2%
9	Belgium	G	1993	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	53%	17%	5.5%	2.0%
10	Switzerland	B	1970	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	52%	19%	6.7%	2.0%
11	Mexico	A	1986	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	32%	13%	5.3%	1.7%
12	United States	D	1976	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	47%	14%	4.3%	1.6%
13	Norway	I	1955	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	32%	11%	4.0%	1.1%
14	Canada	B	1866	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	29%	5.2%	1.2%	0.3%
15	Egypt	G	1854	0%	100%	0%	100%	52%	11%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
16	Paraguay	D	1824	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%	11%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%
17	Australia	D	1838	0%	100%	0%	100%	48%	8.9%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
18	Ghana	L	1775	0%	0%	100%	100%	21%	5.2%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
19	Cape Verde	H	1718	0%	100%	0%	100%	7.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
20	Senegal	I	1939	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
21	Croatia	L	1949	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
22	Ecuador	E	1922	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
23	Côte d'Ivoire	E	1900	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
24	Algeria	J	1873	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
25	Sweden	F	1859	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
26	Austria	J	1865	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
27	DR Congo	K	1826	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
28	Bosnia & Herzegovina	B	1775	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
29	Germany	E	2092	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
30	Japan	F	1950	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
31	Netherlands	F	2085	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
32	South Africa	A	1713	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
33	Curaçao	E	1555	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
34	Czechia	A	1826	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
35	Haiti	C	1623	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
36	Iran	G	1787	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
37	Iraq	I	1638	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
38	Jordan	J	1672	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
39	South Korea	A	1891	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
40	Saudi Arabia	H	1700	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
41	New Zealand	G	1630	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
42	Panama	L	1696	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
43	Qatar	B	1550	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
44	Scotland	C	1774	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
45	Tunisia	F	1663	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
46	Türkiye	D	1897	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
47	Uruguay	H	1949	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
48	Uzbekistan	K	1677	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%