TC TrophyCast

FIFA World Cup 2026 · live bracketcaster

Who wins the World Cup?

Track title odds, knockout paths, group state, and what-if scenarios from one reproducible forecast artifact. How it works ->

100,000 simulations 72/72 group matches 13/32 knockout matches trophycast-0.1.0 model 7/3/2026, 5:19:26 AM
100,000 simulations loaded.

Groups

Live projected standings with the chance to finish 1st/2nd/3rd and advance. Pick results on the Matches tab or click a team to trace its bracket path.

Group A

Qualification settled

2 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Mexico Qualified top 23-0-09+6100%0%100%
South Africa Qualified top 21-1-14-1100%0%100%
South Korea Eliminated1-0-23-10%100%0%
Czechia Eliminated0-1-21-40%0%0%

Group B

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Switzerland Qualified top 22-1-07+4100%0%100%
Canada Qualified top 21-1-14+5100%0%100%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Qualified 3rd1-1-14-10%100%100%
Qatar Eliminated0-1-21-80%0%0%

Group C

Qualification settled

2 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Brazil Qualified top 22-1-07+6100%0%100%
Morocco Qualified top 22-1-07+3100%0%100%
Scotland Eliminated1-0-23-30%100%0%
Haiti Eliminated0-0-30-60%0%0%

Group D

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
United States Qualified top 22-0-16+4100%0%100%
Australia Qualified top 21-1-140100%0%100%
Paraguay Qualified 3rd1-1-14-20%100%100%
Türkiye Eliminated1-0-23-20%0%0%

Group E

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Germany Qualified top 22-0-16+6100%0%100%
Côte d'Ivoire Qualified top 22-0-16+2100%0%100%
Ecuador Qualified 3rd1-1-1400%100%100%
Curaçao Eliminated0-1-21-80%0%0%

Group F

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Netherlands Qualified top 22-1-07+6100%0%100%
Japan Qualified top 21-2-05+4100%0%100%
Sweden Qualified 3rd1-1-1400%100%100%
Tunisia Eliminated0-0-30-100%0%0%

Group G

Qualification settled

2 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Belgium Qualified top 21-2-05+4100%0%100%
Egypt Qualified top 21-2-05+2100%0%100%
Iran Eliminated0-3-0300%100%0%
New Zealand Eliminated0-1-21-60%0%0%

Group H

Qualification settled

2 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Spain Qualified top 22-1-07+5100%0%100%
Cape Verde Qualified top 20-3-030100%0%100%
Uruguay Eliminated0-2-12-10%100%0%
Saudi Arabia Eliminated0-2-12-40%0%0%

Group I

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
France Qualified top 23-0-09+8100%0%100%
Norway Qualified top 22-0-16+1100%0%100%
Senegal Qualified 3rd1-0-23+20%100%100%
Iraq Eliminated0-0-30-110%0%0%

Group J

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Argentina Qualified top 23-0-09+7100%0%100%
Austria Qualified top 21-1-140100%0%100%
Algeria Qualified 3rd1-1-14-20%100%100%
Jordan Eliminated0-0-30-50%0%0%

Group K

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
Colombia Qualified top 22-1-07+3100%0%100%
Portugal Qualified top 21-2-05+5100%0%100%
DR Congo Qualified 3rd1-1-14+10%100%100%
Uzbekistan Eliminated0-0-30-90%0%0%

Group L

Qualification settled

3 through
Projected through
TeamRecPtsGDAuto3rdQual
England Qualified top 22-1-07+4100%0%100%
Croatia Qualified top 22-0-160100%0%100%
Ghana Qualified 3rd1-1-1400%100%100%
Panama Eliminated0-0-30-40%0%0%